Elmira/Corning Regional Airport

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Tuesday's Almanac: Sunrise 6:40 AM Sunset 5:59 PM Average High: 39 Average Low: 18 Record High: 70(1991) Record Low: -2(1962)

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE ENTIRE TWIN TIERS STARTS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

 

Dim sunshine early today leads to thickening cloud coverage as a complex storm heads in this direction. Fair weather high pressure shifts east and a broad southerly flow evolves through the afternoon. Cold air at ground level will be stubborn and as this storm gets closer, expecting snow to break out by mid afternoon. It looks like a three hour window of decent snow, until more of an icy mixture becomes involved by evening. Before wintry mix ensues, a coating to 1-2 inches is likely with isolated 3" amounts associated with steadier bursts of snow. Through the evening and first half of the night, it will be switching between sleet and freezing rain leading to slick roadways. An icy coating will likely occur this evening with accumulations of .10 to .25" ice. Wind speeds will also increase later today, gusts in excess of 30mph may bring down weaker tree limbs that have a coating of dense ice and snow on them. It will take all day long to rise above 32 providing the area with snowy and icy weather, until it rises above freezing and eventually transitioning wintry mix to rain through Tuesday night. It should be fairly mild to start Wednesday, but a cold front slices through the region, allowing for temperatures to slowly fall through the day along with gusty westerly breezes through the day. Most of the rain/mix will taper off during Wednesday morning.

By Thursday, system's cold front will stall to the east and a new disturbance will spin up along the front and have some snow associated with it. As of right now, some snow is likely Thursday, but the question being how far West does snow make it? It looks like the worst snow will be south and east but some computer models are indicating at least 2 to 4" of snow for Thursday. It will be a close call.

Front finally shifts Friday, allowing for fair weather high pressure to move over the region with clearing skies Friday through the weekend. Late Saturday, a weak disturbance may produce a couple of snow showers late in the day and at night.

Remember to "spring forward" by an hour late Saturday night for Sunday. It is also a good reminder to check batteries in smoke alarms as well as Carbon Monoxide detectors. Sunset by Sunday evening will occur after 7PM.

Have a good day!

Craig 

Tuesday: Increasing clouds with snow developing mid day and afternoon, changing to wintry mix in the evening. Becoming windy by evening. Highs: 30-35 but most of the day will be in the 20s. Wind: South 5-15 with gusts to 30mph in the evening.

Tuesday Night: Windy, snow to wintry mix of sleet and pockets of freezing rain. Accumulations 1-3" with ice build up of .10 to .25" during the evening. Most should transition to rain showers during pre dawn Wednesday. Low: 30-35 Wind: South 15-25mph

Wednesday: Early rain showers ending as wet flurries and snow showers, windy and turning colder slowly, after a mild start to the day. High: 35-40 (Slowly falling) Wind: West 5-15 G30

Thursday: Breezy and colder with some light snow possible. High: Near 20 Wind: NW 10mph.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny.  Highs 20-25

Saturday: Mix of sun and clouds. Breezy with some light snow showers later. Highs 35-40

Sunday: Partly sunny.  Highs near 35.

Monday:  Mostly sunny.  Highs 35-40