Tomorrow across the Twin Tiers, a cold front will swing through the region with showers and storms, but just how severe? There are many factors going into the severe weather potential we have in place tomorrow. Some of these variables include the quickness of the front and how much sunshine we get before storms start to pop.

First, let us start with the timing of the front. A faster movement of the cold front will cause the strongest severe weather to be well east of the region, but this outcome will not keep the Twin Tiers out of severe weather potential. If a faster front moves through than we will see minimal severe weather. A slower passage of the front will mean the opposite. A slower progression of the cold front will allow storms to pop up more to the west and gather in strength as they move through our region.

Now, although a big factor is the cold front which forces the air to rise, we also need energy for strong storms. That will depend on how much sunshine. Models are showing some shower activity during the morning hours which will limit the amount of sunshine the region sees and will also mean less energy for storms to grow and intensity. So, the amount of cloud cover across the region tomorrow morning and how long it persists will tell a lot about how the severe weather will play out across the region during the afternoon.

As of now, we expect the strongest of the storms to be for east of our region, but that will change based on the reasons stated above. Nonetheless, we are still going to see the chance for damaging wind, hail, and even an isolated tornado. Make sure you stick with us tomorrow afternoon as we give you continuing coverage on these expected storms.

-Alex